Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Global Biodiversity
Trends and Predictions
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.48112/tibss.v2i2.803Abstract
Abstract Views: 1380
Global warming which is as a result of human activities such as burning of fossil fuels and deforestation is a major threat to species diversity. This study is based on species in the climate change hotspots, using the SSDM, phenology, species traits, responses of ectotherms, and vegetation activity. We evaluate shifts in the distribution and numbers of species and their probabilities of dying out. An average Global warming of 1.1°C since the end of the nineteenth century has altered precipitation, deteriorated habitats, and increased the rate of species’ disappearance. If emissions are not reduced, 20-30% of species like the American Pika and many amphibians could be wiped out by end of the century. Phenological activities are taking place 2.5 days earlier per decade, which affects the balance of ecosystems. This study also stresses the importance of flexibility in conservation approaches like connecting the fragmented habitats, rehabilitating the disturbed ones, and the protection of ecological connectivity to reduce the impacts of climate change on species.
Keywords:
Climate change, Ecosystem assessment, Extinctions risks, Global biodiversity, Species distribution modellingReferences
Bellingeri, M., & Bodini, A. (2012). Threshold extinction in food webs. Theoretical Ecology, 6(2), 143–152. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-012-0166-0
Cahill, A. E., Aiello-Lammens, M. E., Fisher-Reid, M. C., Hua, X., Karanewsky, C. J., Yeong Ryu, H., ... & Wiens, J. J. (2013). How does climate change cause extinction?. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 280(1750), 20121890. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2012.1890
Carscallen, W. M. A., & Romanuk, T. N. (2012). Structure and robustness to species loss in Arctic and Antarctic ice-shelf meta-ecosystem webs. Ecological Modelling, 245, 208-218. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2012.03.027
Chen, I-Ching., Hill, J. K., Ralf Ohlemüller, Roy, D. B., & Thomas, C. D. (2011). Rapid range shifts of species associated with high levels of climate warming. Science, 333(6045), 1024–1026. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1206432
Chichorro, F., Juslén, A., & Cardoso, P. (2019). A review of the relation between species traits and extinction risk. Biological Conservation, 237, 220-229. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2019.07.001
Cordone, G., Marina, T. I., Salinas, V., Doyle, S. R., Saravia, L. A., & Momo, F. R. (2018). Effects of macroalgae loss in an Antarctic marine food web: applying extinction thresholds to food web studies. PeerJ, 6, e5531–e5531. https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.5531
Crucitti, P., Latora, V., Marchiori, M., & Rapisarda, A. (2004). Error and attack tolerance of complex networks. Physica. A, 340(1-3), 388–394. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2004.04.031
Doney, S. C., Ruckelshaus, M., Emmett Duffy, J., Barry, J. P., Chan, F., English, C. A., ... & Talley, L. D. (2012). Climate change impacts on marine ecosystems. Annual Review of Marine Science, 4(1), 11-37. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-marine-041911-111611
Donohue, I., Petchey, O. L., Kéfi, S., Alexandre Génin, Jackson, A. L., Yang, Q., & O’Connor, N. E. (2017). Loss of predator species, not intermediate consumers, triggers rapid and dramatic extinction cascades. Global Change Biology, 23(8), 2962–2972. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13703
Hirt, M. R., Barnes, A. D., Gentile, A., Pollock, L. J., Rosenbaum, B., Wilfried Thuiller, Tucker, M. A., & Brose, U. (2021). Environmental and anthropogenic constraints on animal space use drive extinction risk worldwide. Ecology Letters, 24(12), 2576–2585. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.13872
Hoegh-Guldberg, O., & Bruno, J. F. (2010). The impact of climate change on the world’s marine ecosystems. Science, 328(5985), 1523-1528. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1189930
Keyes, A. A., McLaughlin, J. P., Barner, A. K., & Dee, L. E. (2021). An ecological network approach to predict ecosystem service vulnerability to species losses. Nature Communications, 12(1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-21824-x
Mastrantonis, S., Craig, M. D., Renton, M., Kirkby, T., & Hobbs, R. J. (2019). Climate change indirectly reduces breeding frequency of a mobile species through changes in food availability. Ecosphere, 10(4), e02656. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.2656
Menzel, A., Sparks, T. H., Estrella, N., Koch, E., Aasa, A., Ahas, R., ... & Zust, A. N. A. (2006). European phenological response to climate change matches the warming pattern. Global Change Biology, 12(10), 1969-1976. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01193.x
Nolan, C., Overpeck, J. T., Allen, J. R., Anderson, P. M., Betancourt, J. L., Binney, H. A., ... & Jackson, S. T. (2018). Past and future global transformation of terrestrial ecosystems under climate change. Science, 361(6405), 920-923. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aan5360
Parmesan, C., & Yohe, G. (2003). A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature, 421(6918), 37–42. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature01286
Riede, J. O., Binzer, A., Brose, U., de Castro, F., Curtsdotter, A., Rall, B. C., & Eklöf, A. (2011). Size-based food web characteristics govern the response to species extinctions. Basic and Applied Ecology, 12(7), 581-589. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.baae.2011.09.006
Seddon, A. W., Macias-Fauria, M., Long, P. R., Benz, D., & Willis, K. J. (2016). Sensitivity of global terrestrial ecosystems to climate variability. Nature, 531(7593), 229-232. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature16986
Solé, R. V., & Montoya, M. (2001). Complexity and fragility in ecological networks. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series B: Biological Sciences, 268(1480), 2039–2045. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2001.1767
Srinivasan, U. T., Dunne, J. A., Harte, J., & Martinez, N. D. (2007). Response of complex food webs to realistic extinction sequences. Ecology, 88(3), 671-682. https://doi.org/10.1890/06-0971
Thackeray, S. J., Sparks, T. H., Frederiksen, M., Burthe, S., Bacon, P. J., Bell, J. R., ... & Wanless, S. (2010). Trophic level asynchrony in rates of phenological change for marine, freshwater and terrestrial environments. Global Change Biology, 16(12), 3304-3313. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02165.x
Thomas, C. D., Cameron, A., Green, R. E., Bakkenes, M., Beaumont, L. J., Collingham, Y. C., Erasmus, N., Marinez, Grainger, A., Hannah, L., Hughes, L., Huntley, B., Albert, Midgley, G. F., Miles, L., Ortega-Huerta, M. A., A. Townsend Peterson, Phillips, O. L., & Williams, S. E. (2004). Extinction risk from climate change. Nature, 427(6970), 145–148. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature02121
Urban, M. C. (2015). Accelerating extinction risk from climate change. Science, 348(6234), 571–573. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaa4984
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 International Journal of Trends and Innovations in Business & Social Sciences

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

